95th Academy Awards: Predictions

It’s the most wonderful time of the year if you’re a cinephile, and it’s just around the corner.

Yes, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences’ Night of Nights —otherwise known as “The Oscars”— will be taking place this Monday morning, March 13th (Naarm time) and the team at Rating Frames is as excited as ever.

As they did last year, our three resident critics have made their predictions as to what, or who, will be victorious in all 23 categories.

Below are the films that Arnel, Darcy and Tom are predicting will walk away with a coveted statuette at the 95th Academy Awards, and their personal vote, in each category.

Best Picture

What will win // What deserves to win

Arnel: The Fabelmans // The Fabelmans

Darcy: Everything Everywhere All at Once // Tár

Tom: Everything Everywhere All at Once // Everything Everywhere…

Best Director

Arnel: Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) // Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)

Darcy: Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)

Tom: Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Best Actor

Arnel: Brendan Fraser (The Whale) // Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Darcy: Brendan Fraser (The Whale) // Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

Tom: Brendan Fraser (The Whale) // Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Best Actress

Arnel: Cate Blanchett (Tár) // Cate Blanchett (Tár)

Darcy: Cate Blanchett (Tár) // Cate Blanchett (Tár)

Tom: Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere…)

Best Supporting Actor

Arnel: Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Darcy: Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Tom: Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)

Best Supporting Actress

Arnel: Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) // Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Darcy: Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) // Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Tom: Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Best Original Screenplay

Arnel: Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin) // Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Darcy: Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin) // Todd Field (Tár)

Tom: Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Arnel: Sarah Polley (Women Talking) // Sarah Polley (Women Talking)

Darcy: Sarah Polley (Women Talking) // Sarah Polley (Women Talking)

Tom: Sarah Polley (Women Talking) // Rian Johnson (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery)

The cast of *Women Talking*, the team’s tip for Best Adapted Screenplay

Best Animated Feature

Arnel: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio // Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio

Darcy: Turning Red // Turning Red

Tom: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio // Turning Red

Best International Feature

Arnel: All Quiet on the Western Front // All Quiet on the Western Front (ideally, none)

Darcy: All Quiet on the Western Front // The Quiet Girl

Tom: All Quiet on the Western Front // All Quiet on the Western Front

Best Documentary Feature

Arnel: Guess answer: Fire of Love // Fire of Love

Darcy: Navalny // All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

Tom: Fire of Love // Fire of Love

Best Documentary Short Subject

Arnel: Guess answer: Haulout

Darcy: Haulout

Tom: How Do You Measure a Year?

Best Live-Action Short

Arnel: Guess answer: Le Pupille

Darcy: Le Pupille

Tom: Le Pupille

Best Animated Short

Arnel: Guess answer: The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse

Darcy: The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse

Tom: The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse

Best Original Score

Arnel: Justin Hurwitz (Babylon) // Justin Hurwitz (Babylon)

Darcy: Justin Hurwitz (Babylon) // Justin Hurwitz (Babylon)

Tom: Volker Bertelmann (All Quiet on the Western Front) // Justin Hurwitz (Babylon)

Best Original Song

Arnel: “Naatu Naatu” (RRR) // “Hold My Hand” (Top Gun: Maverick)

Darcy: “Naatu Naatu” (RRR) // “This is a Life” (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Tom: “Naatu Naatu” (RRR) // “Hold My Hand” (Top Gun: Maverick)

N. T. Rama Rao Jr and Ram Charan in *RRR*, the favourite for Best Original Song

Best Sound

Arnel: Top Gun: Maverick // Top Gun: Maverick

Darcy: Top Gun: Maverick // The Batman

Tom: All Quiet on the Western Front // Top Gun: Maverick

Best Production Design

Arnel: Babylon // Babylon

Darcy: Babylon // Babylon

Tom: Elvis // All Quiet on the Western Front

Best Cinematography

Arnel: Roger Deakins (Empire of Light) // Roger Deakins (Empire of Light)

Darcy: Roger Deakins (Empire of Light) // Florian Hoffmeister (Tár)

Tom: Mandy Walker (Elvis) // James Friend (All Quiet on the Western Front)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Arnel: The Whale // The Batman

Darcy: Elvis // Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Tom: The Whale // The Batman

Best Costume Design

Arnel: Shirley Kurata (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Shirley Kurata (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Darcy: Shirley Kurata (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Shirley Kurata (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Tom: Catherine Martin (Elvis) // Ruth Carter (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)

Best Film Editing

Arnel: Paul Rogers (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Paul Rogers (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Darcy: Paul Rogers (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Paul Rogers (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Tom: Paul Rogers (Everything Everywhere All at Once) // Eddie Hamilton (Top Gun: Maverick)

Best Visual Effects

Arnel: Avatar: The Way of Water // Avatar: The Way of Water

Darcy: Avatar: The Way of Water // Avatar: The Way of Water

Tom: Avatar: The Way of Water // Top Gun: Maverick